Name: Drew Brees. His adjusted yards for 22 completions is (674 + 4*20 - 1*45) = 709 yards. The 2017-18 edition includes much more than previous editions, but the most significant stat is Efficiency Score. If we want to use a QB with a large sample size, Matt Ryan was 11 spots better with John (16.1% better). Prison Camps for Grannies: Breaking Down Episode 6 of Succession. Interpreted as: Drew Brees deep ball passing accuracy career. Case Keenum was the least efficient downfield passer, surprising since he led the league in overall passing DVOA. Although if you give the QB credit for throwing up jump balls to a very good receiver, you're essentially crediting the QB for having a good receiver when the whole point is trying to isolate the QB from his surroundings. Drew Brees, (born January 15, 1979, Dallas, Texas, U.S.), American gridiron football quarterback who was one of the most prolific passers in National Football League (NFL) history and set numerous single-season and career passing records, including the all-time marks for pass completions, passing yards, and passing touchdowns. Projections. The pass is dropped by the defense and the quarterback is at fault. Bill O'Brien had zero excuses for taking away those calls from Savage. Stephen A. Smith details why Lamar Jackson is better positioned for a Super Bowl run than Aaron Rodgers. Cousins had 16 big-time throws on his 61 deep attempts and suffered from three drops on those deep passes. *Numbers taken from the 2016-19 NFL seasons. On the other end, Andy Dalton ranked 18 spots better for Cian (7.2% better). Elo likes the Ravens at home here, giving them a 60 percent chance at the victory, but the teams are pretty evenly matched, and it should be an excellent defensive battle. As you may have guessed from Jacoby Brissett's high accuracy percentage, his accuracy to all distances was just absurd. We present them here for purely educational purposes. I never said the QB shouldn't throw the jump ball. DeSean Jackson being missing especially crippled Wentzs ability to win deep down the field regularly, and though his passing itself was solid, the production the offense had on these attempts was lackluster at best. Thanks to PFF Premium Stats 2.0 which is available with a PFF ELITE subscription we can see how quarterbacks perform in this critical area each season, but lets go a step deeper and rank those quarterbacks by PFF grade on deep passes, rather than by any production-based deep passing metric that is heavily influenced by the receiver at the catch point and the coverage the ball was thrown into. He led the league in completion rate on these passes by over 10 percentage points and in adjusted completion rate by 20 percentage points. Do you have a blog? Get the latest news, stats, videos, highlights and more about quarterback Drew Brees on ESPN. Drew Brees Stats, Height, Weight, Position, Draft, College | Pro-Football-Reference.com Drew Brees Drew Christopher Brees Position: QB Throws: Right 6-0 , 209lb (183cm, 94kg) Born: January 15 in Austin, TX (Age: 44-060d) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 13x Pro Bowl 1x All-Pro 1x SB Champ SB XLIV MVP 2004 AP Comeback Player 2x AP Off. This takes a look at each quarterback's rate of scenarios out of the total amount of downfield passes. Who has the most career 150 rushing yard games? If thats not enough, there are another three years of gifs/studies to consider. Tyrod Taylor, like Smith, wasn't spectacular in accuracy but took outrageously good care of the football despite playing with arguably the worst receiving corps in the league, poor pass protection, and the second-highest rate of tight windows in the league. the greatest statistical quarterback in NFL history, NFL Power Rankings: The War of Attrition Leaves Some Teams Scrambling. This is a number that will have Justin Herbert starting for the Chargers sooner rather than later. Henderson, who was already in New Orleans when Brees arrived, was the first. (Matt Ryan is proof that quarterbacks can throw interceptions that aren't on them.). Brees has proven throughout his career, and in the 2011 regular season, that he is one of the best quarterbacks in the league when it comes . Get complete game-by-game stats for quarterback Drew Brees on ESPN. While Brees is still effective throwing downfield - 46.3 completion rate (2nd) and 16.1 YPA (3rd) on attempts longer than 20 yards - he only went deep on . Brissett hit 51.5 percent of his deep throws (21+ yards), 16.1 percent above the league average (4th highest overall), but too often those big plays were ruined by one of his receivers. He is the greatest statistical quarterback in NFL history. Tom Brady was slightly below average, which isn't really that surprising. Matthew Stafford has the totals but lacks in accuracy. Instead of throwing to one of them, though, he pump-fakes twice and settles on a dump-off pass for a loss of 2 yards. My jobs not to have the most air yards. Brees was mocking anybody who would hold some silly advanced stat in his face as a sign hes not a good quarterback. There were complaints about receivers not getting open, and about calling long developing plays with a terrible o-line, but not about Brissett's arm strength or accuracy. I'm not sure I disagree with your overall feeling - but the problem with your argument is its all based on completion percentage. ), Fewest air yards per pass attempt and smallest share of attempts that went 20+ yards in the air for qualified NFL passers, 2006-2020. Now Hell Face LeBron and the Lakers. * Selected to Pro Bowl, + First-Team AP All-Pro, Bold indicates league leader, Transaction, fine, and suspension data since 2002. Do you have a blog? What's the catch? That is, did their attempts contain all the discrepancies between the 2 methodologies (& thus had hugely different rankings). Good for 21 yards per deep ball attempt. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Similar to how most extreme short passers struggle to post efficient numbers, the other offenses whose receiving corps were led by running backs tended to grade as mediocre, according to schedule-adjusted expected points added (EPA). 571. Infamous in prior seasons for checking the ball down, Alex Smith's 2017 saw him throw the deep ball with better touch than ever before. Tom Brady's relatively poor rating surprises me a bit, given what I perceived as one of his better downfield seasons. You can find the link to the 2017-18 Deep Ball Project here. Its not that Derek Carr is bad at passing deep, its just that it seems to be near impossible to convince him to try it. In 59 games, he threw for a total of 12,348 yards, 80 touchdowns and 53 interceptions. (So does Taysom Hill.) And yet, New Orleans has started the season with at least four wins in its first six games for a fourth consecutive year, and Brees is seventh in the NFL in Total QBR.1 Brees has been trending in this direction for a while, but he is now pushing the absolute limits of how much a quarterback can accomplish without having the arm to back it up. Clicking on player names below will bring you to a more expanded section with more stats over at the Deep Ball Project website. The Real Reason Presidential Candidates Form Exploratory Committees, Oct. 29, 2020, Now that Ginn is gone, the Saints have Emmanuel Sanders, who ran a 4.39 40-yard dash and got open over the top in last years Super Bowl as a member of the 49ers. Lock completed only three of those 11 pass attempts for 96 yards and a score, but he also had one picked off. And no QB in the entire sample had a season in which he threw a smaller share of passes 20 or more yards downfield than Breess 3.3 percent rate so far in 2020. With this in mind, let's take a look at the final raw numbers for all 35 quarterbacks that were charted. Ben Roethlisberger was the least accurate passer under pressure and into tight windows. It has been a magic act worth appreciating. Or write about sports? TD. He managed this despite playing with some of the least efficient receivers of 2017 (even Delanie Walker let him down) as well as being in a Mike Mularkey offense that gave him great protection but very few open windows. But the statistical evidence that Brees is either unwilling or unable to throw the ball deep is overwhelming. Get complete game-by-game stats for quarterback Drew Brees on ESPN. Recent stars like Carson Wentz and Deshaun Watson don't grade out nearly as well as people think due to the fact that both had poor accuracy on deep passes, to all depths. 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. Efficiency Score uses a points system that rewards accurate passes and docks points away for inaccurate completions (plays where a pass is inaccurate but caught thanks to a receiver who bails out the quarterback), interceptions where the quarterback is at fault, and dropped interceptions where the quarterback is at fault. (I'm guessing no, otherwise Kinsley would have mentioned it.) NAME SEASON TM GP PCT CMP ATT YDS AVG YDS/G TD TD% INT INT% SCK SCKY RATE; Drew Brees: 2001: SD. Heisman Voting: This is the fourth edition of the Deep Ball Project, which of course means I have been doing this since 2014. Is there any reason to believe it's not? Some school's results have been altered by retroactive NCAA penalties. @Neil_Paine, NFL (976 posts) The reason his efficiency score doesn't rank higher is because he forced a giant amount of dropped picks for his sample size. Drew Brees Drew Brees QB | NFL Playoffs 9 New Orleans Saints Ht: 5' 11" Wt: 209. Which Rough NFL Starts Are Salvageable, and Which Are Season-Enders? (This is where the "elite" jokes come in.). Primary running backs to lead an NFL team in receiving yards in a season since 2006, with team ranks in expected points added (EPA). See our list of forfeits and vacated games for more details. The quality of Sammy Watkins, Todd Gurley, Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp, Tyler Higbee, and Gerald Everett meant that he was constantly throwing to open receivers as well. at Birth Country: United States. Criticized harshly for a weak arm, the 41-year-old almost never throws the ball deep anymore, instead tossing short passes to running back Alvin Kamara and various receivers not named Michael Thomas. Drew Brees (13) Even then, his accuracy in that area was still above average. Overview Upgrades Abilities Compare . What saved his grade was his solid accuracy on throws of 40-plus yards, under pressure, and into tight windows. A massive part of being a great QB is knowing your receiver's strengths and playing to them. With no Roethlisberger for almost all of last season, we have pulled up his 2018 statistics to include him on the list. 2. according to Football Outsiders Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement, all-important race for the AFCs top overall seed. (So does Taysom Hill.). His accuracy into open windows was horrible and he took poor care of the ball downfield, getting lucky on passes that should have been picked off. The six interceptions dragged his efficiency down, but he was the second-most accurate overall downfield passer. He took a massive step up on downfield passing in Year Nmero Dos. It seems like those three were more productive than Brisset even when Brisset was compensated for external factors. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Also if you know that your receiver is very good at catching contested balls (Gronk or Megatron) throwing a long jump ball can be a very smart play. than any other quarterback last year, and they came at the cost of just one turnover-worthy play. Despite his lack of arm strength and disinclination to throw any deeper than 20 yards downfield, Brees has added value through sheer accuracy and ability to read defenses. 2009 Bert Bell Award (Player of the Year), Frequently Asked Questions about the NFL and Football, Pro-Football-Reference.com Blog and Articles, Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREE. Drew Brees Career Stats | StatMuse Drew Brees Authentic voice 6'0", 209 lbs Saints QB PCT 67.7 YDS 80,358 TD 571 RATE 98.7 Career Overview Stats Game Log Splits Bio Explore Drew Brees rookie season stats When was Drew Brees drafted? Base on Balls (Walk) sb Stolen Bases . He is one of just six passers with 1,000 or more yards on deep shots last season and managed to throw 11 touchdowns to only one interception on those plays. Again, rankings out of 35 are in parentheses. He had zero inaccurate completions, and his accuracy was extremely successful against pressure and into tight windows. That is 21.4 yards/attemp. This year, only three of Breess 68 attempts have been deeper than 20 yards, a rate of 4.4 percent. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. This year, that figure is down even further, sitting at just 4.9 yardsa yard and a half per throw lower than his league-worst number from last year. Payton also drew up a variety of play-action bombs, often with Brees rolling out, that gave Henderson and others time to get deep and Brees plenty of space to step into his throws. Because they pose minimal danger over the top to keep defenses honest, you might think that Brees and the Saints would be struggling. Bradys numbers were solid if not spectacular, and thats with nobody winning on a consistent basis. Recent and Trending topics from Football Outsiders. Find out more. After Cooks, the Saints traded for Ted Ginn, who ran a 4.38 40-yard dash. Mahomes had the second-best passer rating on deep targets but did enjoy a little luck in that only two of his five turnover-worthy plays actually ended up picked off. His completion rate was good, but six turnover-worthy plays hurt him overall, with five of those plays resulting in an interception. had a passer rating of 97.1 with 8,695 yards, 54 touchdowns and 27 interceptions in 29 games against the. Just four years later, the overlooked quarterback led the New . Fantasy Football. The Broncos on Monday picked up wide receiver Jerry Jeudy's fifth-year rookie option. Drew Brees NFL News & Stats. Despite 662 dropbacks, Goff took a shot deep just 56 times (8.9%) and scored only one touchdown on those plays, despite having plenty to work with in terms of receiving talent. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. Jimmy Garoppolo has an excellent grade on these plays, but he attempted just 31 deep shots all season the fewest among full-time starting quarterbacks. Sometimes the only way to have chance at a completion, due to the coverage, is to force the receiver to adjust to the ball. Kyler a Trade Chip? He also showed impressive touch on passes of 25 to 29 yards and on passes of 35 to 39 yards, ranking in the top five in both ranges. Join our linker program. Do you have a sports website? drewbrees, PFR HOF Monitor: 140.58 (7th among QB, average HOF QB is 104.14). Arguably the best quarterback in football right now, Patrick Mahomes was a devastating deep passer in 2019 despite battling through a series of injuries throughout the year. Wilson produced five more big-time throws (PFFs highest-graded throws that take into account ball location accuracy, etc.) . Live From New York: Will AI Replace This Podcast. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. How many passing yards does Drew Lock have? That's six points already. Forces Passes Ideal. Tannehill still wasnt the best deep passer in the world, but what made a difference was that he didnt make mistakes on those attempts. Is the reviewer a Colts fan, for instance? 1: 55.6: 15: 27: 221: 8.2: The big shock comes from the different situations faced by Texans quarterbacks Deshaun Watson and Tom Savage. Instagram: Big shock coming from a Bill Belichick-coached offense, I know. Even McLaurin was responsible for dropping one of Haskins best passes, which would have moved the needle on his numbers given his low sample size, but the PFF grade accounts for that, and the grade was also bad. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. Carson Palmer's swan-song year was a shadow of his phenomenal 2015 season, but he faced the highest rate of pressure on downfield throws. College Football at Sports-Reference.com Blog and Articles. Drew Brees Career Stats | NFL.com Players Injuries Transactions Health & Safety NFL+ X NFL+ Draft Room Rhett Lewis is joined by Marc Ross, David Shaw and Cynthia Frelund to predict picks. (Tannehills average pass travels nearly 2 yards farther than Breess, though, because he seldom targets receivers behind the line of scrimmage.) Thats an especially pressing issue now, with Thomas still struggling to return and leading wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders on the COVID-19 reserve list. posted a seven-year-high YPA (6th in NFL) and set a career low in interceptions as a starter, resulting in a career-high 115.7 passer rating. Luck, in 2016 and throwing to many of the same receivers (Hilton, Moncrief, Doyle), completed 26 of 55 attempts over 20 yards. He was the first player on the list to complete under 30% of his deep pass attempts and had one of the lowest yards per attempt figures in the league. He led the NFL in completion percentage, had a 27-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio, and helped earn the Saints a 13-3 record (8-3 in Breess starts) and the top seed in the NFC. Ultimately its just another part of Trubiskys game that has likely cost him the starting job in favor of Nick Foles, whose numbers last season may have been even worse than Trubiskys. [Editors note:Subscribe to PFF ELITE todayto gain access to PFFsPremium Statsand newPlayer Grades experiencein addition to the2020 NFL Draft Guide,2020 Fantasy Rookie Scouting Report,PFF Greenline, all of PFFs premium article content and more.]. Panama Jacksons True-ish Black Stories and Talking Freaknik, Im Not Gon Let You Play in My Damn Face. Stafford passed for six deep touchdowns but had 16 big-time throws, and he perhaps deserved a little more when it came to putting points on the board from his passes. I dont get it. But so far this season, Brees has generally ignored Sanders, who has just four catches for 37 yards. Jimmy Garoppolo had the highest percentage of clean pockets. 1 rolling rating in our QB Elo metric, which I suspect is overstating things a bit but it does speak to his expectation-defying performance so far this season. Some of it comes down to Kamaras unique talent as a receiver; no other running back is even close to being as valuable a pass catcher, according to Football Outsiders Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement metric. Prescott threw for the third-most yards on these plays and had the third-most completions. Amazingly, Brett Hundley ranked eighth in accuracy on throws of 20 to 24 yards. Javascript is required for the selection of a player. And, of course, that figure is also aided by Breess own vast knowledge of the Saints offensive system. There was also a large amount of read-option. Or on sideline routes the QB might put it up high enough that the receiver catches it or it is OOB. Grading Every Teams Performance in the 2023 NFL Draft. Highest total QBR in a season among passers with fewer than 7.0 air yards per attempt and fewer than 8 percent of passes traveling at 20+ air yards, 2006-2020. Obviously things won't line up 100%, but some things I noticed: Different amount of 16yard+ attempts. Brees is statistically one of the worst deep-ball throwers in the league and the Buccaneers need to take advantage According ESPN Stat & Info , Brees is throwing short passes at a historically . If that doesnt put into context how we evaluate quarterbacks at draft time, nothing will. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Finally, let's look at the percentage of situations each quarterback was in. Can Phoenix generate enough easy offense to keep up with Denver? A year ago, he was at the bottom end of nearly every list, particularly when it came to accuracy. If a QB is more selective in picking their spots to go deep, they'll get their deep throw highlights without the accompanying misses on lower percentage deep throws. Plays where the receiver fails to win at the catch point despite being given a reasonable angle to catch the ball. My Wish 2007 Drew Brees - Devan Muller meets Drew Brees, Brees fires up LSU baseball with old Saints hype speech. The Giants will be hoping that having his receiving corps healthy and together will help in Year 2.