If these combine with south swells then Malibu and Trestles will fire whereas places such as Rincon require a more northerly swell. Wind waves 2 ft or Pacific-Ocean Surf Map - Wind and Wave forecasts Pacific-Ocean wave (swell) map for surfers, windsurfers and sailors showing open ocean wave size, wave period and wave energy. The PDF Corrected forecast suggests temps falling to -1.15 degs in June then rising to -0.75 degs in July and fading before holding near -1.0 degs beyond. Swell on the Way | Southern California Weekly Forecast Anomalies were moderate east over the East equatorial Pacific and moderate east over the Central Pacific and moderate east over the KWGA. National Weather Service Marine Forecast FZUS56 KMFR : See Hi-Res Buoy Dashboards (bottom of the page). Gales associated with this system are shown locked in down the 300-320 degree directional band relative to the islands driving seas into the 25-30 ft range. (Note: These are 5 day average winds, versus realtime, so they lag what is happening today (by about 2.5 days). Swell NW 8 to 10 ft at 10 seconds. Previous other notable peaks were +30.98 on 11/26, +36.90 on 9/28, +27.75 on 9/13 and +37.86 on 7/15. The 7 day forecast calls for east anomalies building to strong status in the core of the KWGA on 2/26 while expanding in coverage to strong or more status holding through the end of the model run on 3/3. N wind 5 to 10 kt. TAO Array: (2/24) Today in the far West Pacific the 29 degree isotherm was retrograding to 168E. Regardless of what the atmospheric models and surface winds suggest, actual water temperatures are a ground-truth indicator of what is occurring in the ocean. afternoon. Your heart knows the way. Wind waves 3 ft. W swell 12 ft at WED NIGHT Swell W 8 to 9 ft at 10 seconds. This pattern isn't out of the realm of possibility by any means and holds medium to high potential; however, that is a 192-hour model so I need a few more days to see how this plays out. Analysis (TAO Buoys): As of (2/23) 5 day average winds were strong from the east over the Eastern equatorial Pacific and strong east over the Central Pacific and strong east over the KWGA. On Sat AM (5/6) south winds to be 40-45 kts with seas 37 ft at 48.75S 132.25W. The GODAS animation is 1 week behind the TAO data but also is more detailed and accurately depicted since its satellite based. Residuals on Mon (2/28) fading from 4.3 ft @ 13 secs (5.5 ft). Last year temps bottomed out at -2.138 on 8/13/20. Over the next 72 hours the jet is to continue marching east reaching 135W on Sun (2/27) or 600 nmiles west of Central CA with winds fading slowly to the 160 kt range but still with no troughs but still offering some support for gale development based on wind speeds alone. Models are still diverged, possible morning window, but at this time conditions look mostly unfavorable. All the while, marine layer will be thick from a heavy onshore flow and very moist air. midnight. Swell fading Tues (5/2) from 7.0 ft @ 10-11 secs (7.0 ft). W wind 5 kt. Swell fading on Tues (3/1) from 6.4 ft @ 15 secs early (9.5 ft). Temps previously rose to -0.402 on 2/23. But by later in Jan or early Feb 2023 a return to a more normal pattern might take hold. TUE NIGHT But then reconsolidating and poised to push weakly over California. On Thurs AM (4/20) south winds were fading from 30+ kts moving to the Southeast Pacific with seas fading from 29 ft at 52.75S 139.5W aimed northeast. Fetch fading in the evening from 35 kts with seas 24 ft at 42.5N 151.25W aimed east. Weak warming set up over the equator with no cool waters present. These forecasts are prepared by the Ocean Prediction Center, National Hurricane Center, Honolulu Forecast Office, Juneau Forecast Office, Anchorage Forecast Office, and Fairbanks Forecast Office. Swell Direction: 212 moving to 202 degrees and mostly shadowed by Tahiti, North CA: Swell arriving early Fri (5/5) with period 18 secs early building to 1.9 ft @ 17-18 secs at sunset (3.0-3.5 ft). The North Pacific is looking slow in the longer range as expected, so focus is shifted towards the South Pacific now. Forecast (2/24) - Temps are to fall to -1.35 degs in May only to rise some to -1.15 degs in the July and holding beyond. SW wind 10 kt. 24. Overview: In 2019 warm equatorial waters were fading, and by August a tongue of cool water was tracking west on the equator from Ecuador over the Galapagos reaching to a point nearly south of Hawaii. North San Diego had sets at thigh to waist high and lined up and clean but very soft. But there is no indication that El Nino will develop and if anything we'll fall into a weak steady state La Nina beyond. Pacific Text Forecasts. Mexico, Pacific Surf Reports and Surf Forecasts - Magicseaweed.com Freezing level 1.500 ft rising to 4,000 ft during the heat of the day through 2/25, then building to 7-8.000 ft on 2/26-2/27 then building to 10,000 ft on 2/28 and holding. Previously they started steadily rising 11/13 when they were around -1.5 degs C. Gidy ( French pronunciation: [idi]) is a commune in the Loiret department in north-central France . Warming was occurring off of Peru out to 130W. W wind 5 kt. sgi_tile=1; FORECAST UPDATE: Swell peaks overnight, from roughly midnight to 8am, then tapers gradually through the day. Mostly the same story as of late. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Eglise Notre Dame. Live Map. North CA: Expect swell arrival on Mon (5/1) at sunrise holding through the day at 8.8 ft @ 13-14 secs (10 ft) and pretty windblown and mostly shadowed in the SF Bay Area. Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. Which could be a fun morning may turn out a bit choppy. In Southern California/Ventura waves were up to waist high and lined up with decent form and clean but soft. Daytime highs though will struggle to reach 60 by Tuesday and Wednesday; in fact, VC may see mid to upper 50s (max) Tuesday and Wednesday. On Mon AM (2/21) the gale started plodding east producing westerly winds at 45 kts over a broad area with a core at 50-55 kts and seas building to 34 ft at 39.75N 152E aimed east. 5 to 7 ft. long range south pacific swell forecast - CleanWorld California, South Surf Reports and Surf Forecasts - Magicseaweed.com South to southwest fetch is to be building in coverage in the evening at 30-35 kts over a large area with seas 29 ft at 44.25S 137.25W aimed northeast. 16. Advanced: Winter - Swell and period combination capable of generating faces 1.5 times overhead to double overhead (7-10 ft) Swell fading some on Mon (5/8) from 1.9 ft @ 14 secs (2.5-3.0 ft). Hi-res Overview: (4/29) Warming waters are filling the East Pacific off Chile, Peru and Ecuador with strong warming along the immediate cost of Peru and Ecuador. 40. Overview TUE NIGHT 0 (ft) View 2 day forecast. In VC, Channel Islands Harbor has been running 58-59. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 10 to Wind waves 2 ft or less becoming 3 ft in Chance of showers. Another gale is forecast developing in the Southeast Pacific Tues-Thurs (5/4) with up to 30 ft seas aimed north. Temps had reached as high as +1.076 on 2/19 and were previously steady at +0.848 since 2/7. N wind 5 ktbacking to W in the afternoon. Freezing level for Lake Tahoe is falling from 10,000 ft today forecast falling to 5,000 ft on 5/2 building to 6,700 ft on 5/3 and holding then rising on 5/8 to 10,500 ft on 5/9. becoming 3 ft in the afternoon. Swell and S 1 ft in the afternoon. Swell NW 4 to 5 ft. PZZ356-011600 S wind 5 ktveering to W. Wind waves 2 ft or less. TUE Gales associated with this system are shown. A gale started developing east of New Zealand on Thurs AM (4/27) with 35-40+ kt south winds and seas 30 ft at 48S 166.25W aimed northeast. One positive would be that theyre looking slightly better than the weekend. Hawaii was getting no swell of interest. On Thursday (2/24) locally generated windswell was hitting California and Hawaii with remnant Dateline swell fading in Hawaii too. If these combine with south swells then Malibu and Trestles will fire whereas places such as Rincon require a more northerly swell. Horse-Drawn Carriage Tours. The South Shore had thigh high sets and clean with sideshore texture and weak. 2 Finals Swell Coming From the North - Then It's All Down South. 6 ft. FRI Tuesday the 16th into Wednesday the 17th could see yet another southern hemi ground swell, and we can see why it, and the ones before it, have high potential for surf-worthy status in SoCal (model by FNMOC): That jetstream model shows a nice, ideal, northward bend in the jetstream, guiding storms off Antarctica to direct their swell energy toward SoCal. It was down to +6.89 on 7/29. Sunday the 7th, looks about chest max at south facing breaks and waist high at west facing spots. . Today we have a 4' high around 6:30 AM, a 0.5' low around 1:30 PM, and a 4.5' high around 8:00 PM. 6 to 7 ft. It is characterized in it's Inactive Phase by enhanced trade winds and dry weather over the part of the equator it is in control of, and in it's Active Phase by slackening if not an outright reversing trade winds while enhancing precipitation. Nearshore buoys were averaging 2.2'. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Swell Direction: 191 degrees. Tuesday the 2nd is expected to run chest to head high at west facing breaks and waist to chest at south facing spots. NW wind 20 to 25 ktbecoming N 10 kt. Winds Residual swell from a small Dateline gale was also fading out in Hawaii (see Tiny North Dateline Gale below). On Wed AM (3/2) a broader gale is to be developing just west of the dateline with 45-50 kt west winds and seas building from 27 ft at 42N 164.5E aimed east. Please enable JavaScript to access the following map views: All map types that you can enable here: Pacific-Ocean Colour Base Map, Wave Height, Wave Energy, Pacific-Ocean Swell 1 Energy, Swell 2 Energy, Windwave Energy, Pacific-Ocean Precipitation, Wind, Temperature, Pacific-Ocean Cloud Cover. veering to W in the eveningbacking to SW after midnight. waves 2 ft or less. Current Conditions Just a minor mix of south swell and NW windswell expected. Widespread Detailed Surf Reports, 16-day Surf Forecasts, Surf Photos - Swellnet MON NIGHT N wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt, easing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt after midnight. The more warm water in the equatorial East Pacific means more storm production in the North Pacific during winter months (roughly speaking). But we also have some very late season WNW groundswell mixing in during the same timeframe, and wintertime spots could get pretty fun. Chance of showers. For automatic notification of forecast updates, subscribe to the Stormsurf001 YouTube channel - just click the 'Subscribe' button below the video. NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Central Orange County had sets at thigh to maybe waist high and clean and lined up when they came but generally weak with light offshore wind. Nino 3.4 Daily CDAS Index Temps: (2/24) Today's temps were steady at -0.710 after rising slightly to -0.505 on 2/2 and that after reaching a peak low of -1.096 on 1/3 beating the previous low of -1.080 on 11/2, the lowest in a year. This day is looking like the lightest afternoon all week, so another session later in the day isnt a bad call. Something to monitor. Crime against visiting surfers is common and becoming increasingly so, especially in the north. afternoon. There should still be a little bit of NW windswell too, how much still depends on the trajectory of the trough to the west. 2 ft or less. Impulse/Windswell: Winter - Swell and period combination generating faces up to head high (1-4 ft) or anything with a period less than 11 secs. Surf Reports & Forecasts Australia Queensland Gold Coast Sunshine Coast Bargara Fraser Island North Stradbroke Island Agnes Water Yeppoon Muralug Island By browsing Magicseaweed, you agree to our use of cookies. All Rights Reserved. The outlook is turning optimistic. afternoon. Ocean Prediction Center - Pacific Marine - National Weather Service NAVTEX Coastal & Offshore Waters Forecasts. Pacific-Ocean wave (swell) map for surfers, windsurfers and sailors showing open ocean wave size, wave period and wave energy. More swell is looking likely out the back too, just nothing as big as what we are going to see this weekend. Also called 'Background' swell. In autumn and and early spring the Santa Ana wind brings weeks of offshore conditions. Swell continues Thurs (5/4) at 2.6 ft @ 15 secs early (4.0 ft). NW wind swell is becoming possible for the 10th-11th. The High Seas Forecast for the South Pacific - National Weather Service Surface Water Temps The CFS model is on the upper range of all models. Tropical Update It seems the the peak of La Nina is behind us. The net result is we're currently thinking a near normal number of swells with normal size and duration is to result, but all focused sometime after Jan 2023. 000 fzps40 phfo 010302 hsfsp high seas forecast national weather service honolulu hi 0530 utc mon may 01 2023 superseded by next issuance in 6 hours seas given as significant wave height.which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. LA was running 58-59 in most spots, but the usually-cooler Cabrillo reported 55 yesterday. Temps to rise steadily from here forward to +0.711 degs in May rising to +1.149 in July and up to +1.269 degrees in Oct then fading from there. WED During the Inactive Phase the jet stream tends to split resulting in high pressure and less potential for swell producing storm development. 8 ft at 10 seconds. 2. High pressure is exiting to the east as a trough of low pressure pushes south from the Gulf of Alaska. 16-day surf forecast for Pacific Beach (PB) in South San Diego. Cold water in that area has a dampening effect. Otherwise no swell producing weather systems are forecast). Copyright Nathan Cool | Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | PV: 8.1.18. A few peaks to track down through the workweek, but conditions dont look great then. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration . In Southern California/Ventura waves were thigh to waist high on the sets and lined up and somewhat rideable but with heavy texture on it from northwest wind. In the evening northwest winds were fading from 35 kts with seas 27 ft at 39.75N 168E approaching the dateline. The population density of the region Centre is 64,36 inhabitants per km. Surf is now declining back to tiny levels with just minor levels of background swell expected from tradewinds in the South Pacific- around a foot at the most exposed Burnett breaks, tiny elsewhere. Moderate NW ground swell is due Thursday into Friday. All content remains copyright of Wavetrak Limited unless stated otherwise, we'd kindly ask that you don't reproduce it in any form without our permission. Oahu: Swell fading on Thurs AM (2/24) from 2.6 ft @ 12 secs early (3.0 ft). Still, neither of these forecasts seems realistic (see IRI Consensus forecast below). Still some fun sized surf out there as that south swell eases and hangs in there, and more short-period NW swell shows. Surf Heights for Hawaii should be consider 'Hawaiian Scale' if period exceeds 14 secs. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Conditions still don't look favorable but that could change. And warmer than normal temps were present well off the coasts of Chile and Peru and building in intensity and weaker over the entirety of the deep South Pacific. W swell 8 ft at 11 seconds. W swell 10 to 12 ft at The area of the region Centre is 39 150,94 km . 2. Today (2/24) the daily index was negative at -0.96 after peaking at +27.33 on 1/31/22 and +46.71 on 12/26. Offshore waters forecasts are subdivided by zone, each identified by text description and a Universal Generic Code (UGC). Coastal waters from Florence Oregon to Point St. George California 32. The swell pattern will be below normal before Jan and above normal after Jan 23 with the average of the two being 'normal'. A slow dissolving of La Nina started in March 2021 with 2 Kelvin Waves sweeping east and arriving over the Galapagos in June. A weak Kelvin Wave is pushing east. As a result a significantly reduced number of storm days and storm intensity is expected Oct-Feb 2022, resulting in a below normal level of swells, with swell being below normal duration and period. No cool anomalies were indicated. These therefore have a significant impact on the production of swell and surf. That jet-bend on this model for the 8th-9th of this month, falls in an 8- to 9-day swell window for SoCal; hence, swell ETA by the 17th. Wind waves 2 ft or less. sgi_tile=1; Check out our Privacy Policy for more information, 2022 Surfable and SURFERforecast. May is one of the most active times of year for Southern Hemisphere swells, and this week is showing us just that. Major Global Weather Pattern Change Occurring - El Nino Developing 2023 Snow-Forecast.com | Privacy | Cookie Policy. Advanced: Winter - Swell and period combination capable of generating faces 1.5 times overhead to double overhead (7-10 ft) Saturday looks clearer and warmer so far. Tide levels